A strong influx of cold polar air and persistent southerly winds has driven Buenos Aires temperatures well below September normals, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily maximum near 10–12°C. Multiple meteorological models and station reports cite sustained cloud cover, high humidity around 70–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that enhance cooling and limit diurnal warming. This positions 12°C as the market-implied outcome with overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of current atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, though model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
12°C 97%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$56,553 Wol.
$56,553 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
97%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$56,553 Wol.
$56,553 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$340 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$656 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$3,466 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$22,368 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$10,118 Wol.
97%
13°C
$9,414 Wol.
3%
14°C
$3,575 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$2,386 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,058 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,456 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$1,715 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong influx of cold polar air and persistent southerly winds has driven Buenos Aires temperatures well below September normals, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily maximum near 10–12°C. Multiple meteorological models and station reports cite sustained cloud cover, high humidity around 70–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that enhance cooling and limit diurnal warming. This positions 12°C as the market-implied outcome with overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of current atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, though model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,553Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong influx of cold polar air and persistent southerly winds has driven Buenos Aires temperatures well below September normals, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily maximum near 10–12°C. Multiple meteorological models and station reports cite sustained cloud cover, high humidity around 70–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that enhance cooling and limit diurnal warming. This positions 12°C as the market-implied outcome with overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of current atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, though model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,553Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A strong influx of cold polar air and persistent southerly winds has driven Buenos Aires temperatures well below September normals, with official forecasts and real-time observations converging on a daily maximum near 10–12°C. Multiple meteorological models and station reports cite sustained cloud cover, high humidity around 70–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that enhance cooling and limit diurnal warming. This positions 12°C as the market-implied outcome with overwhelming trader consensus, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of current atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected rapid shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings higher, though model consensus shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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