Recent model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under partly clearing skies and moderate southerly flow as the main driver keeping Buenos Aires minimum temperatures clustered between 5–8 °C on 12 September. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 1–4 °C support efficient surface cooling once winds ease, yet lingering cloud cover and gusts above 15 km/h could limit the drop to the mid-6 °C range. Official guidance from regional forecasts shows slight divergence on the exact low, with some runs favoring 4–5 °C if skies clear fully and others holding near 7–8 °C under continued overcast. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched around 6–8 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any final clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
4°C or below 98%
5°C 98%
8°C 55%
6°C 52%
$584 Wol.
$584 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
98%
5°C
98%
6°C
52%
7°C
50%
8°C
55%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
4°C or below 98%
5°C 98%
8°C 55%
6°C 52%
$584 Wol.
$584 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
98%
5°C
$10 Wol.
98%
6°C
$0 Wol.
52%
7°C
$0 Wol.
50%
8°C
$98 Wol.
55%
9°C
$392 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$84 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under partly clearing skies and moderate southerly flow as the main driver keeping Buenos Aires minimum temperatures clustered between 5–8 °C on 12 September. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 1–4 °C support efficient surface cooling once winds ease, yet lingering cloud cover and gusts above 15 km/h could limit the drop to the mid-6 °C range. Official guidance from regional forecasts shows slight divergence on the exact low, with some runs favoring 4–5 °C if skies clear fully and others holding near 7–8 °C under continued overcast. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched around 6–8 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any final clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$584Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under partly clearing skies and moderate southerly flow as the main driver keeping Buenos Aires minimum temperatures clustered between 5–8 °C on 12 September. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 1–4 °C support efficient surface cooling once winds ease, yet lingering cloud cover and gusts above 15 km/h could limit the drop to the mid-6 °C range. Official guidance from regional forecasts shows slight divergence on the exact low, with some runs favoring 4–5 °C if skies clear fully and others holding near 7–8 °C under continued overcast. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched around 6–8 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any final clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$584Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to overnight radiational cooling under partly clearing skies and moderate southerly flow as the main driver keeping Buenos Aires minimum temperatures clustered between 5–8 °C on 12 September. Persistent high pressure and dew points near 1–4 °C support efficient surface cooling once winds ease, yet lingering cloud cover and gusts above 15 km/h could limit the drop to the mid-6 °C range. Official guidance from regional forecasts shows slight divergence on the exact low, with some runs favoring 4–5 °C if skies clear fully and others holding near 7–8 °C under continued overcast. This narrow spread explains why trader-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched around 6–8 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any final clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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