**Forecast models show moderate uncertainty around the overnight low for September 14 in Buenos Aires, with consensus pointing to 5–9 °C amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup.** A recent cold outbreak (including a 2.4 °C minimum earlier in September) has been followed by southerly flow and clearing skies; a shift to lighter northerly winds on the 14th is expected to moderate temperatures while allowing some radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicates limited potential for either sub-2 °C readings (requiring stronger cold advection or clearer, calmer nights) or daytime/early-morning values above 12 °C. Traders appear to be weighting tail risks from model spread in wind timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the market nearly balanced between the two extreme bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 39%
4°C 38%
2°C or below
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
38%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C or higher
98%
2°C or below 100%
12°C or higher 98%
3°C 39%
4°C 38%
2°C or below
100%
3°C
39%
4°C
38%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show moderate uncertainty around the overnight low for September 14 in Buenos Aires, with consensus pointing to 5–9 °C amid a post-frontal high-pressure setup.** A recent cold outbreak (including a 2.4 °C minimum earlier in September) has been followed by southerly flow and clearing skies; a shift to lighter northerly winds on the 14th is expected to moderate temperatures while allowing some radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles indicates limited potential for either sub-2 °C readings (requiring stronger cold advection or clearer, calmer nights) or daytime/early-morning values above 12 °C. Traders appear to be weighting tail risks from model spread in wind timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping the market nearly balanced between the two extreme bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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