Current forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on September 14, driven by a cold front and widespread rain that limits daytime heating and maintains high cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 17°C, followed closely by 16°C and 18°C. Persistent instability and southeasterly flow keep conditions cooler than the month’s typical 23°C average maximum, while model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed distribution across 15–19°C outcomes. Official station measurements will determine resolution once the day ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14?
17°C 32%
16°C 20%
18°C 19%
15°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
20%
17°C
32%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 32%
16°C 20%
18°C 19%
15°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
15°C
$422 Wol.
14%
16°C
$488 Wol.
20%
17°C
$562 Wol.
32%
18°C
$382 Wol.
19%
19°C
$834 Wol.
7%
20°C
$191 Wol.
5%
21°C
$148 Wol.
3%
22°C
$202 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$297 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$417 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on September 14, driven by a cold front and widespread rain that limits daytime heating and maintains high cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 17°C, followed closely by 16°C and 18°C. Persistent instability and southeasterly flow keep conditions cooler than the month’s typical 23°C average maximum, while model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed distribution across 15–19°C outcomes. Official station measurements will determine resolution once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,939Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on September 14, driven by a cold front and widespread rain that limits daytime heating and maintains high cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 17°C, followed closely by 16°C and 18°C. Persistent instability and southeasterly flow keep conditions cooler than the month’s typical 23°C average maximum, while model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed distribution across 15–19°C outcomes. Official station measurements will determine resolution once the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,939Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Brazil’s INMET and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in São Paulo on September 14, driven by a cold front and widespread rain that limits daytime heating and maintains high cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration of probability at 17°C, followed closely by 16°C and 18°C. Persistent instability and southeasterly flow keep conditions cooler than the month’s typical 23°C average maximum, while model spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed distribution across 15–19°C outcomes. Official station measurements will determine resolution once the day ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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