Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light to moderate showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. Precipitation probabilities of 60–70% and timing uncertainties across runs differentiate the closely matched market-implied odds, with stronger or earlier rain suppressing peaks toward 24°C while clearer intervals could allow brief warming to 26°C. Current conditions on September 12, with highs near 24°C and ongoing moisture, support this range ahead of final model updates overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
25°C 30%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 14%
$12,100 Wol.
$12,100 Wol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
28%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 28%
26°C 21%
23°C 14%
$12,100 Wol.
$12,100 Wol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
28%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daily high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 13, driven by widespread cloud cover, light to moderate showers, and light winds that limit solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. Precipitation probabilities of 60–70% and timing uncertainties across runs differentiate the closely matched market-implied odds, with stronger or earlier rain suppressing peaks toward 24°C while clearer intervals could allow brief warming to 26°C. Current conditions on September 12, with highs near 24°C and ongoing moisture, support this range ahead of final model updates overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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