Current forecast models from sources like the GFS project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability on 20°C and supporting 19–21°C outcomes that together exceed 95% trader consensus. This cooler-than-average reading, below the 22.4°C climatological normal, stems from post-frontal high pressure and dry air advection following weekend warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
20°C 49%
19°C 28%
21°C 20%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
6%
20°C 49%
19°C 28%
21°C 20%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$95 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$95 Wol.
1%
16°C
$0 Wol.
4%
17°C
$0 Wol.
6%
18°C
$85 Wol.
6%
19°C
$9 Wol.
28%
20°C
$306 Wol.
49%
21°C
$9 Wol.
20%
22°C
$13 Wol.
5%
23°C
$0 Wol.
6%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability on 20°C and supporting 19–21°C outcomes that together exceed 95% trader consensus. This cooler-than-average reading, below the 22.4°C climatological normal, stems from post-frontal high pressure and dry air advection following weekend warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$612Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability on 20°C and supporting 19–21°C outcomes that together exceed 95% trader consensus. This cooler-than-average reading, below the 22.4°C climatological normal, stems from post-frontal high pressure and dry air advection following weekend warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$612Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the GFS project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability on 20°C and supporting 19–21°C outcomes that together exceed 95% trader consensus. This cooler-than-average reading, below the 22.4°C climatological normal, stems from post-frontal high pressure and dry air advection following weekend warmth. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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