**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).** Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity. This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
32°C 68%
31°C 29%
30°C 3%
33°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
29%
32°C
68%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 68%
31°C 29%
30°C 3%
33°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$188 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$80 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$80 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$990 Wol.
3%
31°C
$2,176 Wol.
29%
32°C
$2,651 Wol.
68%
33°C
$980 Wol.
3%
34°C
$463 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$268 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).**
Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity.
This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,040Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).**
Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity.
This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,040Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 31–33°C in Ankara on September 12, 2026, under clear skies and light winds, driving the strong market tilt toward 32°C (67.5% implied probability).** Ankara’s continental climate features warm, dry September days with typical maxima near 27–30°C; the current setup shows a stable high-pressure ridge supporting slightly above-average warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official and ensemble forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, PredictWind, and others) consistently project afternoon peaks of 31–33°C at stations like Esenboğa, with several runs centering on 32°C amid light southerly or variable flow and low humidity. This narrow range explains the market’s heavy weighting on 32°C and 31°C (combined >98%), while lower outcomes remain at negligible probabilities. Minor model spread around exact peak timing or micro-scale variations accounts for the small allocations to 30°C or 33°C. No major synoptic shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to this consensus ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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