**Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a September 11 high of 22–23 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds.** These conditions reflect a mild Atlantic air mass with limited cloud break for solar heating and no significant frontal systems to alter temperatures. Recent runs show consistency around these values, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (43.5 %) and 22 °C (31.5 %), while the smaller probabilities for 24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread. Historical September maxima near 20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and the next official updates overnight will determine whether any late adjustments shift the implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 11?
Highest temperature in London on September 11?
23°C 46%
22°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
35%
23°C
46%
24°C
14%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$218 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$315 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$333 Wol.
2%
21°C
$1,827 Wol.
8%
22°C
$2,426 Wol.
35%
23°C
$2,343 Wol.
46%
24°C
$571 Wol.
14%
25°C
$576 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$725 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a September 11 high of 22–23 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds.**
These conditions reflect a mild Atlantic air mass with limited cloud break for solar heating and no significant frontal systems to alter temperatures. Recent runs show consistency around these values, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (43.5 %) and 22 °C (31.5 %), while the smaller probabilities for 24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread. Historical September maxima near 20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and the next official updates overnight will determine whether any late adjustments shift the implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,642Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a September 11 high of 22–23 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds.**
These conditions reflect a mild Atlantic air mass with limited cloud break for solar heating and no significant frontal systems to alter temperatures. Recent runs show consistency around these values, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (43.5 %) and 22 °C (31.5 %), while the smaller probabilities for 24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread. Historical September maxima near 20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and the next official updates overnight will determine whether any late adjustments shift the implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,642Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a September 11 high of 22–23 °C in London under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds.** These conditions reflect a mild Atlantic air mass with limited cloud break for solar heating and no significant frontal systems to alter temperatures. Recent runs show consistency around these values, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (43.5 %) and 22 °C (31.5 %), while the smaller probabilities for 24 °C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon clearing or model spread. Historical September maxima near 20 °C provide context for the mild anomaly, and the next official updates overnight will determine whether any late adjustments shift the implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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