**Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts projecting a daily high near 23°C on September 10 amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and precipitation.** Heavy rain from September 8–10 enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, while the influx of cooler polar air lowers surface temperatures by 5–11°C from prior levels around 30–34°C. Model consensus and local meteorological guidance place the peak between roughly 20–24°C, creating tight market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C as traders weigh minor variations in timing of the heaviest rain, wind strength, and exact boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome within this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
23%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$50 Wol.
3%
19°C
$7 Wol.
5%
20°C
$0 Wol.
8%
21°C
$12 Wol.
15%
22°C
$0 Wol.
26%
23°C
$0 Wol.
23%
24°C
$13 Wol.
14%
25°C
$20 Wol.
11%
26°C
$0 Wol.
9%
27°C
$0 Wol.
4%
28°C or higher
$25 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts projecting a daily high near 23°C on September 10 amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and precipitation.**
Heavy rain from September 8–10 enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, while the influx of cooler polar air lowers surface temperatures by 5–11°C from prior levels around 30–34°C. Model consensus and local meteorological guidance place the peak between roughly 20–24°C, creating tight market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C as traders weigh minor variations in timing of the heaviest rain, wind strength, and exact boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts projecting a daily high near 23°C on September 10 amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and precipitation.**
Heavy rain from September 8–10 enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, while the influx of cooler polar air lowers surface temperatures by 5–11°C from prior levels around 30–34°C. Model consensus and local meteorological guidance place the peak between roughly 20–24°C, creating tight market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C as traders weigh minor variations in timing of the heaviest rain, wind strength, and exact boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome within this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall are driving a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts projecting a daily high near 23°C on September 10 amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and precipitation.** Heavy rain from September 8–10 enhances evaporative cooling and reduces solar insolation, while the influx of cooler polar air lowers surface temperatures by 5–11°C from prior levels around 30–34°C. Model consensus and local meteorological guidance place the peak between roughly 20–24°C, creating tight market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C as traders weigh minor variations in timing of the heaviest rain, wind strength, and exact boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely refine the outcome within this narrow range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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