Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models places Shanghai’s September 8 maximum near 30°C under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s leading 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) outcomes. Early September climatology for the region features moderating temperatures after summer peaks, with limited southerly moisture and no strong high-pressure ridge to drive extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip readings by 1°C. Official station data on the day will resolve the market, with traders weighting the narrow 29–31°C window most heavily given current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
30°C 47%
29°C 45%
31°C 7%
28°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
45%
30°C
47%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 45%
31°C 7%
28°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
45%
30°C
47%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models places Shanghai’s September 8 maximum near 30°C under northerly flow and partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s leading 30°C (51.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) outcomes. Early September climatology for the region features moderating temperatures after summer peaks, with limited southerly moisture and no strong high-pressure ridge to drive extremes. Recent model runs show minimal spread, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip readings by 1°C. Official station data on the day will resolve the market, with traders weighting the narrow 29–31°C window most heavily given current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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