Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 6, indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and possible brief showers. This aligns with climatological September averages of 21–22°C lows, though current patterns show slightly elevated overnight readings from residual moisture and urban effects. Trader sentiment clusters around 23–24°C due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential, while wider spreads reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and any revisions from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date. Historical analogs suggest minimal deviation without major synoptic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
24°C 45%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
26°C 34%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
23%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
26°C 34%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
23%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 6, indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8 near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and possible brief showers. This aligns with climatological September averages of 21–22°C lows, though current patterns show slightly elevated overnight readings from residual moisture and urban effects. Trader sentiment clusters around 23–24°C due to model consensus on stable steering patterns and limited cooling potential, while wider spreads reflect typical short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and any revisions from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date. Historical analogs suggest minimal deviation without major synoptic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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