Current forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Paris on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied odds near 30°C or below. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing from 27°C on September 4 to 24–26°C on September 5 amid building high pressure, with limited moisture and modest diurnal ranges. Key differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud thickness, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief spikes toward 32°C; historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the anomaly but do not constrain short-term variability. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 5 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 6?
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 36%
30°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
37%
29°C
37%
30°C
36%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
27°C 36%
30°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
19%
27°C
$0 Wol.
36%
28°C
$0 Wol.
37%
29°C
$0 Wol.
37%
30°C
$0 Wol.
36%
31°C
$0 Wol.
7%
32°C
$0 Wol.
7%
33°C
$0 Wol.
7%
34°C
$0 Wol.
2%
35°C
$0 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Paris on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied odds near 30°C or below. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing from 27°C on September 4 to 24–26°C on September 5 amid building high pressure, with limited moisture and modest diurnal ranges. Key differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud thickness, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief spikes toward 32°C; historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the anomaly but do not constrain short-term variability. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 5 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Paris on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied odds near 30°C or below. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing from 27°C on September 4 to 24–26°C on September 5 amid building high pressure, with limited moisture and modest diurnal ranges. Key differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud thickness, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief spikes toward 32°C; historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the anomaly but do not constrain short-term variability. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 5 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Paris on September 6 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied odds near 30°C or below. Recent observations show daytime maxima climbing from 27°C on September 4 to 24–26°C on September 5 amid building high pressure, with limited moisture and modest diurnal ranges. Key differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud thickness, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief spikes toward 32°C; historical September averages near 23°C provide context for the anomaly but do not constrain short-term variability. Updated model runs and surface observations through September 5 will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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