**Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and local monitoring point to a high of 32–33°C on September 4 under increasing cloud cover, with the Qinghai-Tibet high-pressure system (“Qinggao”) still exerting influence but yielding to more moisture.** This follows a 35.6°C reading on September 1 and projected highs of 34°C (Sept 2–3), creating a modest cooling trend amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible in western mountain areas. Global models show a spread—some maintaining 33–34°C under clearer conditions while others trend toward 27–30°C with greater cloud thickness or precipitation—producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local stations, where even modest differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus local guidance most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to upside model runs that keep temperatures elevated into the mid-30s.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
36°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
23%
34°C
32%
35°C
22%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 32%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
36°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$24 Wol.
2%
31°C
$30 Wol.
3%
32°C
$2 Wol.
10%
33°C
$0 Wol.
23%
34°C
$0 Wol.
32%
35°C
$0 Wol.
22%
36°C
$44 Wol.
6%
37°C or higher
$100 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and local monitoring point to a high of 32–33°C on September 4 under increasing cloud cover, with the Qinghai-Tibet high-pressure system (“Qinggao”) still exerting influence but yielding to more moisture.**
This follows a 35.6°C reading on September 1 and projected highs of 34°C (Sept 2–3), creating a modest cooling trend amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible in western mountain areas. Global models show a spread—some maintaining 33–34°C under clearer conditions while others trend toward 27–30°C with greater cloud thickness or precipitation—producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local stations, where even modest differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus local guidance most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to upside model runs that keep temperatures elevated into the mid-30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$200Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and local monitoring point to a high of 32–33°C on September 4 under increasing cloud cover, with the Qinghai-Tibet high-pressure system (“Qinggao”) still exerting influence but yielding to more moisture.**
This follows a 35.6°C reading on September 1 and projected highs of 34°C (Sept 2–3), creating a modest cooling trend amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible in western mountain areas. Global models show a spread—some maintaining 33–34°C under clearer conditions while others trend toward 27–30°C with greater cloud thickness or precipitation—producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C.
Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local stations, where even modest differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus local guidance most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to upside model runs that keep temperatures elevated into the mid-30s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$200Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and local monitoring point to a high of 32–33°C on September 4 under increasing cloud cover, with the Qinghai-Tibet high-pressure system (“Qinggao”) still exerting influence but yielding to more moisture.** This follows a 35.6°C reading on September 1 and projected highs of 34°C (Sept 2–3), creating a modest cooling trend amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers possible in western mountain areas. Global models show a spread—some maintaining 33–34°C under clearer conditions while others trend toward 27–30°C with greater cloud thickness or precipitation—producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local stations, where even modest differences in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus local guidance most heavily while assigning meaningful probability to upside model runs that keep temperatures elevated into the mid-30s.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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