Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 4 project a high near 92°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, though lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard has kept recent days cloudier and slightly cooler than seasonal norms around 89-91°F. Key variables include the timing and coverage of sea-breeze-driven convection, which can cap afternoon temperatures, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. This uncertainty supports the market's broad distribution, with substantial implied probability on 86-91°F outcomes rather than a narrow peak near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and short-term guidance ahead of the date remain the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 4?
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 24%
92-93°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
4%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 24%
92-93°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$82 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
8%
86-87°F
$3 Wol.
42%
88-89°F
$18 Wol.
34%
90-91°F
$331 Wol.
24%
92-93°F
$26 Wol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
6%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
6%
100°F or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 4 project a high near 92°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, though lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard has kept recent days cloudier and slightly cooler than seasonal norms around 89-91°F. Key variables include the timing and coverage of sea-breeze-driven convection, which can cap afternoon temperatures, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. This uncertainty supports the market's broad distribution, with substantial implied probability on 86-91°F outcomes rather than a narrow peak near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and short-term guidance ahead of the date remain the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$460Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 4 project a high near 92°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, though lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard has kept recent days cloudier and slightly cooler than seasonal norms around 89-91°F. Key variables include the timing and coverage of sea-breeze-driven convection, which can cap afternoon temperatures, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. This uncertainty supports the market's broad distribution, with substantial implied probability on 86-91°F outcomes rather than a narrow peak near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and short-term guidance ahead of the date remain the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$460Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 4 project a high near 92°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, though lingering moisture from Tropical Depression Edouard has kept recent days cloudier and slightly cooler than seasonal norms around 89-91°F. Key variables include the timing and coverage of sea-breeze-driven convection, which can cap afternoon temperatures, along with model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. This uncertainty supports the market's broad distribution, with substantial implied probability on 86-91°F outcomes rather than a narrow peak near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and short-term guidance ahead of the date remain the primary catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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