Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 2, with high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and northwest winds supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and recent stable conditions following any late-August variability. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, keeping 33 °C as the market-favored outcome at 60.5 % while 32 °C holds 38 % implied probability; cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected shifts in steering flow or insolation. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
NOWE
$16,696 Wol.
NOWE
$16,696 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
39%
33°C
61%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 39%
31°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
NOWE
$16,696 Wol.
NOWE
$16,696 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
28°C or below
$659 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,361 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$549 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,667 Wol.
2%
32°C
$3,920 Wol.
39%
33°C
$6,245 Wol.
61%
34°C
$878 Wol.
1%
35°C
$533 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$382 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$255 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$249 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 2, with high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and northwest winds supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and recent stable conditions following any late-August variability. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, keeping 33 °C as the market-favored outcome at 60.5 % while 32 °C holds 38 % implied probability; cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected shifts in steering flow or insolation. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,696Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 2, with high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and northwest winds supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and recent stable conditions following any late-August variability. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, keeping 33 °C as the market-favored outcome at 60.5 % while 32 °C holds 38 % implied probability; cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected shifts in steering flow or insolation. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,696Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on September 2, with high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and northwest winds supporting daytime maxima near 31–32 °C. This aligns with climatological norms for early September and recent stable conditions following any late-August variability. Minor model spread arises from differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, keeping 33 °C as the market-favored outcome at 60.5 % while 32 °C holds 38 % implied probability; cooler or hotter extremes remain low-probability outliers absent unexpected shifts in steering flow or insolation. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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