Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown for São Paulo on September 1, driven by a northwest-shifting cold front and widespread thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. Multiple short-term models converge on a maximum near 22–23°C—well below the 30–36°C readings seen August 30–31—while longer-range guidance shows modest spread around 21–25°C tied to timing of cloud cover and rainfall totals. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the imminent frontal passage introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds clustered tightly around the central outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official agency consensus against potential model revisions expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 1?
23°C 26%
24°C 20%
25°C 14%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
20%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 26%
24°C 20%
25°C 14%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Wol.
6%
21°C
$70 Wol.
8%
22°C
$67 Wol.
10%
23°C
$37 Wol.
26%
24°C
$38 Wol.
20%
25°C
$86 Wol.
14%
26°C
$0 Wol.
5%
27°C
$7 Wol.
4%
28°C
$18 Wol.
3%
29°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown for São Paulo on September 1, driven by a northwest-shifting cold front and widespread thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. Multiple short-term models converge on a maximum near 22–23°C—well below the 30–36°C readings seen August 30–31—while longer-range guidance shows modest spread around 21–25°C tied to timing of cloud cover and rainfall totals. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the imminent frontal passage introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds clustered tightly around the central outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official agency consensus against potential model revisions expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$352Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown for São Paulo on September 1, driven by a northwest-shifting cold front and widespread thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. Multiple short-term models converge on a maximum near 22–23°C—well below the 30–36°C readings seen August 30–31—while longer-range guidance shows modest spread around 21–25°C tied to timing of cloud cover and rainfall totals. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the imminent frontal passage introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds clustered tightly around the central outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official agency consensus against potential model revisions expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$352Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown for São Paulo on September 1, driven by a northwest-shifting cold front and widespread thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating. Multiple short-term models converge on a maximum near 22–23°C—well below the 30–36°C readings seen August 30–31—while longer-range guidance shows modest spread around 21–25°C tied to timing of cloud cover and rainfall totals. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the imminent frontal passage introduces forecast uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds clustered tightly around the central outcomes. Traders appear to weigh official agency consensus against potential model revisions expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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