Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s August 30 maximum near 25–27 °C under a west-to-southwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest daytime heating after Friday’s thunderstorms. Model spread and variable cloud timing create the chief uncertainty, keeping the 27 °C outcome at the head of market-implied probabilities while 26 °C and 28 °C remain viable depending on the precise hour of peak insolation. Historical late-August normals around 23 °C underscore the slightly above-average warmth currently priced in, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 48%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
48%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 21%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
5%
25°C
$0 Wol.
9%
26°C
$36 Wol.
21%
27°C
$54 Wol.
48%
28°C
$26 Wol.
21%
29°C
$0 Wol.
7%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s August 30 maximum near 25–27 °C under a west-to-southwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest daytime heating after Friday’s thunderstorms. Model spread and variable cloud timing create the chief uncertainty, keeping the 27 °C outcome at the head of market-implied probabilities while 26 °C and 28 °C remain viable depending on the precise hour of peak insolation. Historical late-August normals around 23 °C underscore the slightly above-average warmth currently priced in, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$117Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s August 30 maximum near 25–27 °C under a west-to-southwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest daytime heating after Friday’s thunderstorms. Model spread and variable cloud timing create the chief uncertainty, keeping the 27 °C outcome at the head of market-implied probabilities while 26 °C and 28 °C remain viable depending on the precise hour of peak insolation. Historical late-August normals around 23 °C underscore the slightly above-average warmth currently priced in, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$117Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s August 30 maximum near 25–27 °C under a west-to-southwest flow, with partly cloudy skies and light winds favoring modest daytime heating after Friday’s thunderstorms. Model spread and variable cloud timing create the chief uncertainty, keeping the 27 °C outcome at the head of market-implied probabilities while 26 °C and 28 °C remain viable depending on the precise hour of peak insolation. Historical late-August normals around 23 °C underscore the slightly above-average warmth currently priced in, with updated model runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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