Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and private services project a high of 98–102°F in Austin on September 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin (40.5%) and 100–101°F bin (21%), as Central Texas remains under a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern after one of the hottest Augusts on record. Historical averages for early September near 93–94°F provide context, yet current conditions and short-range model consensus support elevated readings without an approaching cold front. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in 48-hour guidance, with heat-index values potentially exceeding 110°F underscoring the thermal setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 1?
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 25%
94-95°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 25%
94-95°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
14%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
22%
96-97°F
$34 Wol.
20%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
41%
100-101°F
$20 Wol.
25%
102-103°F
$8 Wol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Wol.
16%
106-107°F
$0 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and private services project a high of 98–102°F in Austin on September 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin (40.5%) and 100–101°F bin (21%), as Central Texas remains under a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern after one of the hottest Augusts on record. Historical averages for early September near 93–94°F provide context, yet current conditions and short-range model consensus support elevated readings without an approaching cold front. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in 48-hour guidance, with heat-index values potentially exceeding 110°F underscoring the thermal setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and private services project a high of 98–102°F in Austin on September 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin (40.5%) and 100–101°F bin (21%), as Central Texas remains under a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern after one of the hottest Augusts on record. Historical averages for early September near 93–94°F provide context, yet current conditions and short-range model consensus support elevated readings without an approaching cold front. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in 48-hour guidance, with heat-index values potentially exceeding 110°F underscoring the thermal setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and private services project a high of 98–102°F in Austin on September 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and mostly sunny skies that favor strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin (40.5%) and 100–101°F bin (21%), as Central Texas remains under a warmer-than-normal late-summer pattern after one of the hottest Augusts on record. Historical averages for early September near 93–94°F provide context, yet current conditions and short-range model consensus support elevated readings without an approaching cold front. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range in 48-hour guidance, with heat-index values potentially exceeding 110°F underscoring the thermal setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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