**Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 1 reflects the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning tightly on that exact maximum.** Recent model runs from agencies such as MetService and international guidance show a mild spring day with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a peak near 14°C (57°F), consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 13–14°C. Hourly data through midday confirm readings climbing toward but not exceeding this threshold, with dew points and wind patterns limiting further warming. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range weather models. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting winds or revised observational data from Wellington Airport, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$51,446 Wol.
$51,446 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$51,446 Wol.
$51,446 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$267 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$330 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$371 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,341 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$5,187 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$12,585 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$10,898 Wol.
100%
15°C
$10,703 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$4,766 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,716 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,281 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 1 reflects the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning tightly on that exact maximum.** Recent model runs from agencies such as MetService and international guidance show a mild spring day with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a peak near 14°C (57°F), consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 13–14°C. Hourly data through midday confirm readings climbing toward but not exceeding this threshold, with dew points and wind patterns limiting further warming. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range weather models. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting winds or revised observational data from Wellington Airport, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,446Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 1 reflects the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning tightly on that exact maximum.** Recent model runs from agencies such as MetService and international guidance show a mild spring day with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a peak near 14°C (57°F), consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 13–14°C. Hourly data through midday confirm readings climbing toward but not exceeding this threshold, with dew points and wind patterns limiting further warming. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range weather models. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting winds or revised observational data from Wellington Airport, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51,446Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on a 14°C high for Wellington on September 1 reflects the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning tightly on that exact maximum.** Recent model runs from agencies such as MetService and international guidance show a mild spring day with northwest winds and partly cloudy skies supporting a peak near 14°C (57°F), consistent with early September climatology where average highs reach about 13–14°C. Hourly data through midday confirm readings climbing toward but not exceeding this threshold, with dew points and wind patterns limiting further warming. This skin-in-the-game positioning accounts for the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range weather models. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting winds or revised observational data from Wellington Airport, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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