Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds for Tokyo on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as cloud cover and humidity levels limit peak solar heating while residual summer warmth persists ahead of the seasonal transition. Model consensus points to highs of 30–31°C in many runs, tempered by possible scattered showers and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. The close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out, with small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed able to move the observed maximum across the 29–32°C thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
19%
30°C
33%
31°C
26%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$157 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$81 Wol.
6%
29°C
$218 Wol.
19%
30°C
$192 Wol.
33%
31°C
$186 Wol.
26%
32°C
$205 Wol.
9%
33°C
$56 Wol.
5%
34°C
$58 Wol.
4%
35°C
$25 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$116 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds for Tokyo on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as cloud cover and humidity levels limit peak solar heating while residual summer warmth persists ahead of the seasonal transition. Model consensus points to highs of 30–31°C in many runs, tempered by possible scattered showers and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. The close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out, with small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed able to move the observed maximum across the 29–32°C thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,295Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds for Tokyo on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as cloud cover and humidity levels limit peak solar heating while residual summer warmth persists ahead of the seasonal transition. Model consensus points to highs of 30–31°C in many runs, tempered by possible scattered showers and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. The close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out, with small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed able to move the observed maximum across the 29–32°C thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,295Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light southeast winds for Tokyo on September 1, supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as cloud cover and humidity levels limit peak solar heating while residual summer warmth persists ahead of the seasonal transition. Model consensus points to highs of 30–31°C in many runs, tempered by possible scattered showers and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. The close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty typical 48 hours out, with small shifts in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed able to move the observed maximum across the 29–32°C thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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