Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy skies on August 31 with a modest warming trend after cooler, rainy conditions on the 29th. Highs are projected near 29–31°C, driven by light easterly winds, high humidity, and partial insolation under broken cloud cover that limits peak heating while scattered showers could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with narrower spreads on 31°C hinging on clearer breaks allowing greater surface warming. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context for this range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
16%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$40 Wol.
1%
26°C
$85 Wol.
2%
27°C
$100 Wol.
6%
28°C
$91 Wol.
12%
29°C
$166 Wol.
30%
30°C
$90 Wol.
34%
31°C
$50 Wol.
16%
32°C
$5 Wol.
7%
33°C
$0 Wol.
6%
34°C
$0 Wol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy skies on August 31 with a modest warming trend after cooler, rainy conditions on the 29th. Highs are projected near 29–31°C, driven by light easterly winds, high humidity, and partial insolation under broken cloud cover that limits peak heating while scattered showers could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with narrower spreads on 31°C hinging on clearer breaks allowing greater surface warming. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context for this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$627Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy skies on August 31 with a modest warming trend after cooler, rainy conditions on the 29th. Highs are projected near 29–31°C, driven by light easterly winds, high humidity, and partial insolation under broken cloud cover that limits peak heating while scattered showers could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with narrower spreads on 31°C hinging on clearer breaks allowing greater surface warming. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context for this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$627Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy skies on August 31 with a modest warming trend after cooler, rainy conditions on the 29th. Highs are projected near 29–31°C, driven by light easterly winds, high humidity, and partial insolation under broken cloud cover that limits peak heating while scattered showers could suppress temperatures. Trader consensus around 29–30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with narrower spreads on 31°C hinging on clearer breaks allowing greater surface warming. Historical late-August baselines near 30°C provide context for this range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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