Recent short-range forecast guidance from multiple models shows a stable high-pressure influence over northern France, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that limit daytime warming for Paris on September 1. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability, while 24°C and 22°C outcomes capture remaining model spread. Early September climatology places the historical average high around 22–24°C, and current ensemble runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values above 25°C. With resolution imminent, updates from official sources such as Météo-France will refine the exact maximum before the market settles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 1?
23°C 43%
24°C 24%
22°C 16%
21°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
6%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
43%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 43%
24°C 24%
22°C 16%
21°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
6%
21°C
$0 Wol.
8%
22°C
$43 Wol.
16%
23°C
$210 Wol.
43%
24°C
$107 Wol.
24%
25°C
$22 Wol.
8%
26°C
$5 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from multiple models shows a stable high-pressure influence over northern France, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that limit daytime warming for Paris on September 1. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability, while 24°C and 22°C outcomes capture remaining model spread. Early September climatology places the historical average high around 22–24°C, and current ensemble runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values above 25°C. With resolution imminent, updates from official sources such as Météo-France will refine the exact maximum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$387Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from multiple models shows a stable high-pressure influence over northern France, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that limit daytime warming for Paris on September 1. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability, while 24°C and 22°C outcomes capture remaining model spread. Early September climatology places the historical average high around 22–24°C, and current ensemble runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values above 25°C. With resolution imminent, updates from official sources such as Météo-France will refine the exact maximum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$387Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from multiple models shows a stable high-pressure influence over northern France, supporting partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that limit daytime warming for Paris on September 1. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 23°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability, while 24°C and 22°C outcomes capture remaining model spread. Early September climatology places the historical average high around 22–24°C, and current ensemble runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push values above 25°C. With resolution imminent, updates from official sources such as Météo-France will refine the exact maximum before the market settles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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