Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Panama City on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome. In the peak of the rainy season, persistent tropical maritime air, elevated precipitable water, and afternoon convective clouds typically cap peak temperatures despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Light steering flow and limited subsidence favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce surface heating after midday, keeping extremes close to the September climatological mean of roughly 32°C. Latest model runs show no significant shift in moisture or wind patterns through the period, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving modest room for 33°C if convection is delayed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 4?
32°C 51%
31°C 35%
27°C 16%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
11%
30°C
7%
31°C
35%
32°C
51%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
10%
32°C 51%
31°C 35%
27°C 16%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
25°C
$385 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
16%
28°C
$0 Wol.
16%
29°C
$13 Wol.
11%
30°C
$32 Wol.
7%
31°C
$1 Wol.
35%
32°C
$17 Wol.
51%
33°C
$10 Wol.
16%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Panama City on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome. In the peak of the rainy season, persistent tropical maritime air, elevated precipitable water, and afternoon convective clouds typically cap peak temperatures despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Light steering flow and limited subsidence favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce surface heating after midday, keeping extremes close to the September climatological mean of roughly 32°C. Latest model runs show no significant shift in moisture or wind patterns through the period, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving modest room for 33°C if convection is delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$474Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Panama City on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome. In the peak of the rainy season, persistent tropical maritime air, elevated precipitable water, and afternoon convective clouds typically cap peak temperatures despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Light steering flow and limited subsidence favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce surface heating after midday, keeping extremes close to the September climatological mean of roughly 32°C. Latest model runs show no significant shift in moisture or wind patterns through the period, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving modest room for 33°C if convection is delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$474Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Panama City on September 4, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome. In the peak of the rainy season, persistent tropical maritime air, elevated precipitable water, and afternoon convective clouds typically cap peak temperatures despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Light steering flow and limited subsidence favor scattered thunderstorms that reduce surface heating after midday, keeping extremes close to the September climatological mean of roughly 32°C. Latest model runs show no significant shift in moisture or wind patterns through the period, supporting the current implied probabilities while leaving modest room for 33°C if convection is delayed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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