Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high of 25–27°C in London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air combined with daytime solar heating under broken cloud. The closely matched market probabilities for 25°C and 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover, timing of any showers, and site-specific measurement at official stations. Westerly winds near 15–20 km/h will limit extreme warming while partial clearing in the afternoon favors the upper end of the range; overnight minima near 18–19°C provide little carryover heat. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations expected through the evening of September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 3?
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
34%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 34%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
14%
25°C
39%
26°C
34%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high of 25–27°C in London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air combined with daytime solar heating under broken cloud. The closely matched market probabilities for 25°C and 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover, timing of any showers, and site-specific measurement at official stations. Westerly winds near 15–20 km/h will limit extreme warming while partial clearing in the afternoon favors the upper end of the range; overnight minima near 18–19°C provide little carryover heat. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations expected through the evening of September 2 will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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