Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing around these values amid light winds of 5–7 m/s, with only modest variation from local urban heat effects or brief clearer intervals. This positioning aligns with the tight 46.5% and 43% market shares for 19°C and 18°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn. Historical September baselines near 12–13°C underscore the current mild anomaly, while updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 3?
Lowest temperature in London on September 3?
19°C 48%
18°C 42%
17°C 8%
20°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
42%
19°C
48%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 48%
18°C 42%
17°C 8%
20°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
14°C
$5 Wol.
1%
15°C
$45 Wol.
2%
16°C
$5 Wol.
3%
17°C
$109 Wol.
8%
18°C
$663 Wol.
42%
19°C
$736 Wol.
48%
20°C
$22 Wol.
6%
21°C
$0 Wol.
2%
22°C
$5 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing around these values amid light winds of 5–7 m/s, with only modest variation from local urban heat effects or brief clearer intervals. This positioning aligns with the tight 46.5% and 43% market shares for 19°C and 18°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn. Historical September baselines near 12–13°C underscore the current mild anomaly, while updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,602Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing around these values amid light winds of 5–7 m/s, with only modest variation from local urban heat effects or brief clearer intervals. This positioning aligns with the tight 46.5% and 43% market shares for 19°C and 18°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn. Historical September baselines near 12–13°C underscore the current mild anomaly, while updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,602Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in London on September 3, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air and extensive low cloud that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows stabilizing around these values amid light winds of 5–7 m/s, with only modest variation from local urban heat effects or brief clearer intervals. This positioning aligns with the tight 46.5% and 43% market shares for 19°C and 18°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or wind shifts before dawn. Historical September baselines near 12–13°C underscore the current mild anomaly, while updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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