Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, point to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 2 around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43% and 32.5% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology in the region features moderating highs near 30°C as the subtropical ridge weakens and humidity remains elevated, limiting further warming. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any late-day convection introduces the modest probabilities assigned to 30°C and 33°C, with no major weather system expected to shift the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
31°C 40%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
40%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$1,072 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Wol.
1%
28°C
$46 Wol.
3%
29°C
$108 Wol.
5%
30°C
$58 Wol.
17%
31°C
$157 Wol.
40%
32°C
$45 Wol.
26%
33°C
$299 Wol.
11%
34°C
$37 Wol.
4%
35°C
$102 Wol.
4%
36°C or higher
$37 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, point to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 2 around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43% and 32.5% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology in the region features moderating highs near 30°C as the subtropical ridge weakens and humidity remains elevated, limiting further warming. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any late-day convection introduces the modest probabilities assigned to 30°C and 33°C, with no major weather system expected to shift the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,967Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, point to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 2 around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43% and 32.5% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology in the region features moderating highs near 30°C as the subtropical ridge weakens and humidity remains elevated, limiting further warming. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any late-day convection introduces the modest probabilities assigned to 30°C and 33°C, with no major weather system expected to shift the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,967Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, point to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 2 around 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow. This positions the 31°C and 32°C outcomes as the clear market leaders at 43% and 32.5% implied probability. Typical early-September climatology in the region features moderating highs near 30°C as the subtropical ridge weakens and humidity remains elevated, limiting further warming. Minor model spread around cloud cover and any late-day convection introduces the modest probabilities assigned to 30°C and 33°C, with no major weather system expected to shift the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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