Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Chicago under southwest flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak front, with mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 2. Forecast highs cluster in the low-to-mid 90s, above the early-September climatological average near 80°F, while afternoon heat indices may reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any scattered convection timing. Traders are weighting the consensus toward these two bins because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have stabilized near 91–94°F. Updated NWS grids and evening model cycles will provide the next clear signal before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
8%
102°F or higher
2%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
$0 Wol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$7 Wol.
8%
88-89°F
$7 Wol.
10%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
14%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
42%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
43%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
11%
98-99°F
$20 Wol.
9%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
8%
102°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Chicago under southwest flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak front, with mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 2. Forecast highs cluster in the low-to-mid 90s, above the early-September climatological average near 80°F, while afternoon heat indices may reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any scattered convection timing. Traders are weighting the consensus toward these two bins because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have stabilized near 91–94°F. Updated NWS grids and evening model cycles will provide the next clear signal before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Chicago under southwest flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak front, with mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 2. Forecast highs cluster in the low-to-mid 90s, above the early-September climatological average near 80°F, while afternoon heat indices may reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any scattered convection timing. Traders are weighting the consensus toward these two bins because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have stabilized near 91–94°F. Updated NWS grids and evening model cycles will provide the next clear signal before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Chicago under southwest flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak front, with mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate winds favoring strong daytime heating on September 2. Forecast highs cluster in the low-to-mid 90s, above the early-September climatological average near 80°F, while afternoon heat indices may reach the upper 90s. Minor differences between 92–93°F and 94–95°F outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any scattered convection timing. Traders are weighting the consensus toward these two bins because ensemble spreads remain narrow and recent model runs have stabilized near 91–94°F. Updated NWS grids and evening model cycles will provide the next clear signal before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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