Recent model consensus for Buenos Aires on September 2 points to a minimum near 10–13 °C, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while any showers could further moderate overnight lows. This positions the market-implied odds near 50 % for both sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and high-cloud timing across ensemble members. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder advection that reduces the chance of sharp cooling under clear skies. Updated runs from major global models and local observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles closer to single digits or remains in the low teens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
10°C 71%
11°C 71%
13°C 71%
14°C 71%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
55%
8°C
70%
9°C
46%
10°C
71%
11°C
71%
12°C
48%
13°C
71%
14°C
71%
15°C
71%
16°C
70%
17°C or higher
14%
10°C 71%
11°C 71%
13°C 71%
14°C 71%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
55%
8°C
$0 Wol.
70%
9°C
$0 Wol.
46%
10°C
$0 Wol.
71%
11°C
$0 Wol.
71%
12°C
$107 Wol.
48%
13°C
$5 Wol.
71%
14°C
$5 Wol.
71%
15°C
$5 Wol.
71%
16°C
$5 Wol.
70%
17°C or higher
$5 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Buenos Aires on September 2 points to a minimum near 10–13 °C, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while any showers could further moderate overnight lows. This positions the market-implied odds near 50 % for both sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and high-cloud timing across ensemble members. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder advection that reduces the chance of sharp cooling under clear skies. Updated runs from major global models and local observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles closer to single digits or remains in the low teens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$132Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Buenos Aires on September 2 points to a minimum near 10–13 °C, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while any showers could further moderate overnight lows. This positions the market-implied odds near 50 % for both sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and high-cloud timing across ensemble members. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder advection that reduces the chance of sharp cooling under clear skies. Updated runs from major global models and local observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles closer to single digits or remains in the low teens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$132Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Buenos Aires on September 2 points to a minimum near 10–13 °C, with northerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while any showers could further moderate overnight lows. This positions the market-implied odds near 50 % for both sub-8 °C and 17 °C-plus outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast spread arising from differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and high-cloud timing across ensemble members. Historical September minima average around 9 °C, but current steering patterns favor milder advection that reduces the chance of sharp cooling under clear skies. Updated runs from major global models and local observations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles closer to single digits or remains in the low teens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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