Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, which favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating that typically caps daytime maxima near 30°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on August 29 amid lighter winds and partial sunshine, with models pointing to increased rainfall probability and a wind shift that could further moderate temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in peak readings across stations, explaining the market's tight clustering between 29–30°C alongside residual probability on hotter outcomes if convection remains limited. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
34°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
28%
31°C
12%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
46%
34°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$10 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
8%
28°C
$0 Wol.
8%
29°C
$0 Wol.
25%
30°C
$29 Wol.
28%
31°C
$27 Wol.
12%
32°C
$0 Wol.
17%
33°C
$0 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, which favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating that typically caps daytime maxima near 30°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on August 29 amid lighter winds and partial sunshine, with models pointing to increased rainfall probability and a wind shift that could further moderate temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in peak readings across stations, explaining the market's tight clustering between 29–30°C alongside residual probability on hotter outcomes if convection remains limited. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$65Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, which favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating that typically caps daytime maxima near 30°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on August 29 amid lighter winds and partial sunshine, with models pointing to increased rainfall probability and a wind shift that could further moderate temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in peak readings across stations, explaining the market's tight clustering between 29–30°C alongside residual probability on hotter outcomes if convection remains limited. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea, which favors cloud cover and reduced solar heating that typically caps daytime maxima near 30°C. Recent observations show highs of 32–33°C on August 29 amid lighter winds and partial sunshine, with models pointing to increased rainfall probability and a wind shift that could further moderate temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in peak readings across stations, explaining the market's tight clustering between 29–30°C alongside residual probability on hotter outcomes if convection remains limited. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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