**Forecast models for September 2 point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Guangzhou, with low precipitation chances supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31°C.** Recent late-August rain and thunderstorms have given way to clearer conditions under strengthening subtropical high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating on September 2. Official and ensemble guidance (including NWP runs referenced in sources like LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug) shows highs of 30.5–32°C, with some variance from timing of any residual moisture or northerly wind shifts that could cap peaks near 29°C or push them to 33°C. Historical early-September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but the current drier pattern and modest wind speeds favor the lower end of that range. Traders appear to weigh the tight model spread and minimal rain risk (often <10–20% daytime), keeping 30°C as the plurality outcome while spreading probability across adjacent values to reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Updated model runs and local observations on September 1–2 will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
30°C 24%
29°C 19%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
19%
30°C
24%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 24%
29°C 19%
31°C 14%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
25°C or below
$319 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$171 Wol.
1%
27°C
$22 Wol.
3%
28°C
$271 Wol.
12%
29°C
$302 Wol.
19%
30°C
$367 Wol.
24%
31°C
$1,243 Wol.
14%
32°C
$664 Wol.
7%
33°C
$425 Wol.
5%
34°C
$965 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$114 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for September 2 point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Guangzhou, with low precipitation chances supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31°C.**
Recent late-August rain and thunderstorms have given way to clearer conditions under strengthening subtropical high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating on September 2. Official and ensemble guidance (including NWP runs referenced in sources like LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug) shows highs of 30.5–32°C, with some variance from timing of any residual moisture or northerly wind shifts that could cap peaks near 29°C or push them to 33°C.
Historical early-September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but the current drier pattern and modest wind speeds favor the lower end of that range. Traders appear to weigh the tight model spread and minimal rain risk (often <10–20% daytime), keeping 30°C as the plurality outcome while spreading probability across adjacent values to reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Updated model runs and local observations on September 1–2 will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,865Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for September 2 point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Guangzhou, with low precipitation chances supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31°C.**
Recent late-August rain and thunderstorms have given way to clearer conditions under strengthening subtropical high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating on September 2. Official and ensemble guidance (including NWP runs referenced in sources like LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug) shows highs of 30.5–32°C, with some variance from timing of any residual moisture or northerly wind shifts that could cap peaks near 29°C or push them to 33°C.
Historical early-September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but the current drier pattern and modest wind speeds favor the lower end of that range. Traders appear to weigh the tight model spread and minimal rain risk (often <10–20% daytime), keeping 30°C as the plurality outcome while spreading probability across adjacent values to reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Updated model runs and local observations on September 1–2 will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,865Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for September 2 point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Guangzhou, with low precipitation chances supporting the market’s clustering around 29–31°C.** Recent late-August rain and thunderstorms have given way to clearer conditions under strengthening subtropical high pressure, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating on September 2. Official and ensemble guidance (including NWP runs referenced in sources like LUFT TIME, Yr.no, and WeatherBug) shows highs of 30.5–32°C, with some variance from timing of any residual moisture or northerly wind shifts that could cap peaks near 29°C or push them to 33°C. Historical early-September averages near 32–33°C provide context, but the current drier pattern and modest wind speeds favor the lower end of that range. Traders appear to weigh the tight model spread and minimal rain risk (often <10–20% daytime), keeping 30°C as the plurality outcome while spreading probability across adjacent values to reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Updated model runs and local observations on September 1–2 will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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