**Strong El Niño conditions developing across the equatorial Pacific, combined with above-average sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula, are positioning the 175-200 mm bin as the market leader for total September precipitation in Seoul.** Historical normals place September rainfall near 140-150 mm, driven by the tail end of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon influences, but 2026's very strong El Niño (with >90% odds of intensification through fall) raises prospects for enhanced moisture transport or late-season storm tracks. Recent August deluges from non-typhoon systems and persistent high-pressure blocking of direct typhoon landfalls introduce uncertainty, while early-month model runs show moderate initial rainfall. Traders weigh these factors against high interannual variability and upcoming Korea Meteorological Administration updates on steering patterns and tropical activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrecipitation in Seoul in September?
Precipitation in Seoul in September?
<75mm 25%
175-200mm 8%
75-100mm 5%
100-125mm 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<75mm
25%
75-100mm
24%
100-125mm
25%
125-150mm
25%
150-175mm
26%
175-200mm
27%
200-250mm
26%
250mm+
25%
<75mm 25%
175-200mm 8%
75-100mm 5%
100-125mm 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
<75mm
$41 Wol.
25%
75-100mm
$20 Wol.
24%
100-125mm
$20 Wol.
25%
125-150mm
$20 Wol.
25%
150-175mm
$20 Wol.
26%
175-200mm
$60 Wol.
27%
200-250mm
$20 Wol.
26%
250mm+
$20 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Strong El Niño conditions developing across the equatorial Pacific, combined with above-average sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula, are positioning the 175-200 mm bin as the market leader for total September precipitation in Seoul.** Historical normals place September rainfall near 140-150 mm, driven by the tail end of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon influences, but 2026's very strong El Niño (with >90% odds of intensification through fall) raises prospects for enhanced moisture transport or late-season storm tracks. Recent August deluges from non-typhoon systems and persistent high-pressure blocking of direct typhoon landfalls introduce uncertainty, while early-month model runs show moderate initial rainfall. Traders weigh these factors against high interannual variability and upcoming Korea Meteorological Administration updates on steering patterns and tropical activity.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$221Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Strong El Niño conditions developing across the equatorial Pacific, combined with above-average sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula, are positioning the 175-200 mm bin as the market leader for total September precipitation in Seoul.** Historical normals place September rainfall near 140-150 mm, driven by the tail end of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon influences, but 2026's very strong El Niño (with >90% odds of intensification through fall) raises prospects for enhanced moisture transport or late-season storm tracks. Recent August deluges from non-typhoon systems and persistent high-pressure blocking of direct typhoon landfalls introduce uncertainty, while early-month model runs show moderate initial rainfall. Traders weigh these factors against high interannual variability and upcoming Korea Meteorological Administration updates on steering patterns and tropical activity.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$221Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 9:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Strong El Niño conditions developing across the equatorial Pacific, combined with above-average sea surface temperatures around the Korean Peninsula, are positioning the 175-200 mm bin as the market leader for total September precipitation in Seoul.** Historical normals place September rainfall near 140-150 mm, driven by the tail end of the East Asian monsoon and occasional typhoon influences, but 2026's very strong El Niño (with >90% odds of intensification through fall) raises prospects for enhanced moisture transport or late-season storm tracks. Recent August deluges from non-typhoon systems and persistent high-pressure blocking of direct typhoon landfalls introduce uncertainty, while early-month model runs show moderate initial rainfall. Traders weigh these factors against high interannual variability and upcoming Korea Meteorological Administration updates on steering patterns and tropical activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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