Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
23°C 83%
25°C 82%
28°C 82%
26°C 81%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
52%
22°C
19%
23°C
83%
24°C
59%
25°C
82%
26°C
81%
27°C
81%
28°C
82%
29°C or higher
37%
23°C 83%
25°C 82%
28°C 82%
26°C 81%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
52%
22°C
19%
23°C
83%
24°C
59%
25°C
82%
26°C
81%
27°C
81%
28°C
82%
29°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters points to an overnight low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 2, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Historical averages for the date sit at 25°C, while current runs show slightly cooler readings around 23–25°C amid stable high pressure and no active tropical systems. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (59%) and 25°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast stability and minimal downside risk from unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through August 31 shows little model spread, supporting the tight clustering of probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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