Wellington Airport observations through September 24 show peak gusts already exceeding 89 km/h, anchoring the 90–101 km/h range as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Springtime positioning in the Roaring Forties, combined with Cook Strait channeling of westerlies and northerlies, produces frequent strong gusts, yet recent MetService and GFS model runs indicate only moderate events ahead with maxima generally below 102 km/h. El Niño-enhanced westerlies noted earlier this season have not translated into extreme late-month spikes, while historical September records at the airport (typically 90–120 km/h range) support the current trader consensus that further intensification is unlikely before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September
90 to 101 km/h 62%
102 km/h or above 37%
89 km/h or below 1.4%
89 km/h or below
1%
90 to 101 km/h
62%
102 km/h or above
37%
90 to 101 km/h 62%
102 km/h or above 37%
89 km/h or below 1.4%
89 km/h or below
1%
90 to 101 km/h
62%
102 km/h or above
37%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wellington Airport observations through September 24 show peak gusts already exceeding 89 km/h, anchoring the 90–101 km/h range as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability. Springtime positioning in the Roaring Forties, combined with Cook Strait channeling of westerlies and northerlies, produces frequent strong gusts, yet recent MetService and GFS model runs indicate only moderate events ahead with maxima generally below 102 km/h. El Niño-enhanced westerlies noted earlier this season have not translated into extreme late-month spikes, while historical September records at the airport (typically 90–120 km/h range) support the current trader consensus that further intensification is unlikely before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania