Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under persistent northeast monsoon flow, with easterly winds around force 4, mostly sunny skies, and low precipitation risk. This setup favors the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, as dry, subsiding air and moderate easterlies typically support afternoon peaks near the upper end of the range. Differentiating 31°C (33%) from 33°C (11.5%) hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, urban heat-island effects, and exact model consensus on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September maxima in similar monsoon regimes average near 31–32°C, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and any overnight model updates ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
32°C 40%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
40%
33°C
12%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 34%
30°C 16%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$65 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$83 Wol.
1%
28°C
$83 Wol.
1%
29°C
$91 Wol.
4%
30°C
$426 Wol.
16%
31°C
$86 Wol.
34%
32°C
$1,152 Wol.
40%
33°C
$455 Wol.
12%
34°C
$44 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$226 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under persistent northeast monsoon flow, with easterly winds around force 4, mostly sunny skies, and low precipitation risk. This setup favors the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, as dry, subsiding air and moderate easterlies typically support afternoon peaks near the upper end of the range. Differentiating 31°C (33%) from 33°C (11.5%) hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, urban heat-island effects, and exact model consensus on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September maxima in similar monsoon regimes average near 31–32°C, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and any overnight model updates ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,805Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under persistent northeast monsoon flow, with easterly winds around force 4, mostly sunny skies, and low precipitation risk. This setup favors the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, as dry, subsiding air and moderate easterlies typically support afternoon peaks near the upper end of the range. Differentiating 31°C (33%) from 33°C (11.5%) hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, urban heat-island effects, and exact model consensus on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September maxima in similar monsoon regimes average near 31–32°C, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and any overnight model updates ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,805Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 24 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under persistent northeast monsoon flow, with easterly winds around force 4, mostly sunny skies, and low precipitation risk. This setup favors the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, as dry, subsiding air and moderate easterlies typically support afternoon peaks near the upper end of the range. Differentiating 31°C (33%) from 33°C (11.5%) hinges on small uncertainties in cloud timing, urban heat-island effects, and exact model consensus on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September maxima in similar monsoon regimes average near 31–32°C, with traders weighting the latest HKO guidance and any overnight model updates ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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