Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 24, with peaks potentially reaching 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, though scattered showers could cap readings closer to 25°C. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 26°C as the modal outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the long-term September average high of roughly 24°C amid typical late-summer humidity and convective activity. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet afternoon cloud build-up and precipitation probability around 30–50% introduce uncertainty that favors the clustered 25–27°C range over extremes. Final observational data from local stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 24?
26°C 40%
27°C or higher 36%
25°C 24%
24°C 4%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
40%
27°C or higher
36%
26°C 40%
27°C or higher 36%
25°C 24%
24°C 4%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
40%
27°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a daytime high near 26°C for Mexico City on September 24, with peaks potentially reaching 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, though scattered showers could cap readings closer to 25°C. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 26°C as the modal outcome, reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the long-term September average high of roughly 24°C amid typical late-summer humidity and convective activity. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet afternoon cloud build-up and precipitation probability around 30–50% introduce uncertainty that favors the clustered 25–27°C range over extremes. Final observational data from local stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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