Trader consensus on Mexico City’s lowest temperature for September 23 shows near parity between mild (16°C+) and unusually cold (6°C or below) outcomes, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime temperature drops, while moist air masses from the lingering rainy season and light northerly winds limit extreme cooling; recent overcast conditions have moderated lows toward 9–13°C per multiple model runs. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context, yet model spread on cloud persistence and urban heat-island effects creates the balanced market-implied odds. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 23?
6°C or below 90%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
6°C or below
90%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
7%
12°C
21%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C or higher
46%
6°C or below 90%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
6°C or below
$100 Wol.
90%
7°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$100 Wol.
1%
9°C
$100 Wol.
1%
10°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$48 Wol.
7%
12°C
$46 Wol.
21%
13°C
$0 Wol.
49%
14°C
$0 Wol.
49%
15°C
$0 Wol.
49%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City’s lowest temperature for September 23 shows near parity between mild (16°C+) and unusually cold (6°C or below) outcomes, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime temperature drops, while moist air masses from the lingering rainy season and light northerly winds limit extreme cooling; recent overcast conditions have moderated lows toward 9–13°C per multiple model runs. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context, yet model spread on cloud persistence and urban heat-island effects creates the balanced market-implied odds. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$534Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Mexico City’s lowest temperature for September 23 shows near parity between mild (16°C+) and unusually cold (6°C or below) outcomes, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime temperature drops, while moist air masses from the lingering rainy season and light northerly winds limit extreme cooling; recent overcast conditions have moderated lows toward 9–13°C per multiple model runs. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context, yet model spread on cloud persistence and urban heat-island effects creates the balanced market-implied odds. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$534Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Mexico City’s lowest temperature for September 23 shows near parity between mild (16°C+) and unusually cold (6°C or below) outcomes, driven by uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime temperature drops, while moist air masses from the lingering rainy season and light northerly winds limit extreme cooling; recent overcast conditions have moderated lows toward 9–13°C per multiple model runs. Historical September averages near 12–13°C provide context, yet model spread on cloud persistence and urban heat-island effects creates the balanced market-implied odds. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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