Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
27°C 48%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
32%
31°C
36%
32°C
22%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
27°C 48%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
48%
28°C
$0 Wol.
10%
29°C
$0 Wol.
15%
30°C
$10 Wol.
32%
31°C
$24 Wol.
36%
32°C
$14 Wol.
22%
33°C
$0 Wol.
3%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$49Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$49Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers on September 4 driven by lingering low-pressure influences and high atmospheric moisture, suppressing maximum temperatures into the 28–31°C range rather than allowing stronger daytime heating. High humidity near 85–95% combined with northeast winds and rainfall totals exceeding 10–25 mm will limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds around 30°C (34.5%) versus 31–32°C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observational data from official stations will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the daily high before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania