A cold front advancing toward São Paulo is the main catalyst positioning 13°C or below as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with incoming polar air expected to suppress overnight lows below the seasonal September average minimum of roughly 12°C. Official forecasts show early September 4 readings already dipping to 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours under clear to partly cloudy skies, while daytime highs remain near 27–31°C before the front strengthens on September 5–6. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some guidance holding lows near 15–16°C if mixing persists and others favoring further cooling if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting recent observational data and the rapid southward surge of cooler air more heavily than longer-term climatology, ahead of updated National Meteorological Institute guidance expected later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 4?
13°C or below 43%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
43%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 43%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
$3 Wol.
43%
14°C
$2 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
31%
16°C
$136 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$308 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$326 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$104 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$112 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$162 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing toward São Paulo is the main catalyst positioning 13°C or below as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with incoming polar air expected to suppress overnight lows below the seasonal September average minimum of roughly 12°C. Official forecasts show early September 4 readings already dipping to 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours under clear to partly cloudy skies, while daytime highs remain near 27–31°C before the front strengthens on September 5–6. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some guidance holding lows near 15–16°C if mixing persists and others favoring further cooling if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting recent observational data and the rapid southward surge of cooler air more heavily than longer-term climatology, ahead of updated National Meteorological Institute guidance expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,478Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing toward São Paulo is the main catalyst positioning 13°C or below as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with incoming polar air expected to suppress overnight lows below the seasonal September average minimum of roughly 12°C. Official forecasts show early September 4 readings already dipping to 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours under clear to partly cloudy skies, while daytime highs remain near 27–31°C before the front strengthens on September 5–6. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some guidance holding lows near 15–16°C if mixing persists and others favoring further cooling if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting recent observational data and the rapid southward surge of cooler air more heavily than longer-term climatology, ahead of updated National Meteorological Institute guidance expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,478Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing toward São Paulo is the main catalyst positioning 13°C or below as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with incoming polar air expected to suppress overnight lows below the seasonal September average minimum of roughly 12°C. Official forecasts show early September 4 readings already dipping to 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours under clear to partly cloudy skies, while daytime highs remain near 27–31°C before the front strengthens on September 5–6. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and intensity, with some guidance holding lows near 15–16°C if mixing persists and others favoring further cooling if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting recent observational data and the rapid southward surge of cooler air more heavily than longer-term climatology, ahead of updated National Meteorological Institute guidance expected later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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