Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila on September 10 are suppressing maximum temperatures near the seasonal norm of 30–31 °C. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate daytime peaks of 27–30 °C amid 80–100 % cloud cover and frequent showers, aligning with the 90.5 % market-implied probability for a 30 °C high. This reflects the ongoing southwest monsoon pattern that has kept recent days slightly below long-term September averages. A late-day clearing or reduced precipitation could allow brief solar heating to reach 31 °C, while heavier or prolonged rain would more likely cap readings at or below 29 °C. Updated observations from PAGASA stations will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 10?
30°C 98%
31°C 4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$28,889 Wol.
$28,889 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 98%
31°C 4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$28,889 Wol.
$28,889 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila on September 10 are suppressing maximum temperatures near the seasonal norm of 30–31 °C. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate daytime peaks of 27–30 °C amid 80–100 % cloud cover and frequent showers, aligning with the 90.5 % market-implied probability for a 30 °C high. This reflects the ongoing southwest monsoon pattern that has kept recent days slightly below long-term September averages. A late-day clearing or reduced precipitation could allow brief solar heating to reach 31 °C, while heavier or prolonged rain would more likely cap readings at or below 29 °C. Updated observations from PAGASA stations will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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