Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
19°C 73%
18°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C <1%
$17,441 Wol.
$17,441 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
19%
19°C
73%
20°C
10%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 73%
18°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C <1%
$17,441 Wol.
$17,441 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$456 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$187 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,485 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$4,429 Wol.
19%
19°C
$3,428 Wol.
73%
20°C
$5,137 Wol.
10%
21°C
$1,207 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$191 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$378 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$437 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,441Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,441Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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