Recent short-range forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Warsaw will experience mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses and follow a period of variable but generally near-normal September warmth. Official meteorological guidance shows minimal model spread at this lead time, with little potential for stronger southerly flow or clear breaks that could push readings higher. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate on the 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside risk from current atmospheric steering patterns. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
20°C 41%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
6%
19°C
32%
20°C
41%
21°C
22%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
3%
20°C 41%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
14°C
$0 Wol.
1%
15°C
$0 Wol.
1%
16°C
$0 Wol.
3%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$19 Wol.
6%
19°C
$32 Wol.
32%
20°C
$61 Wol.
41%
21°C
$118 Wol.
22%
22°C
$10 Wol.
6%
23°C or higher
$34 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Warsaw will experience mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses and follow a period of variable but generally near-normal September warmth. Official meteorological guidance shows minimal model spread at this lead time, with little potential for stronger southerly flow or clear breaks that could push readings higher. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate on the 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside risk from current atmospheric steering patterns. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$275Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Warsaw will experience mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses and follow a period of variable but generally near-normal September warmth. Official meteorological guidance shows minimal model spread at this lead time, with little potential for stronger southerly flow or clear breaks that could push readings higher. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate on the 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside risk from current atmospheric steering patterns. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$275Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Warsaw will experience mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds on September 14, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum temperature near 19–21 °C. These conditions align with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn air masses and follow a period of variable but generally near-normal September warmth. Official meteorological guidance shows minimal model spread at this lead time, with little potential for stronger southerly flow or clear breaks that could push readings higher. Market-implied odds therefore concentrate on the 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range and limited upside risk from current atmospheric steering patterns. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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