**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting GFS model guidance indicate a Monday low of 12–13 °C for Toronto, driving the market’s concentration on those two outcomes (12 °C at 46.5 %, 13 °C at 34.5 %).** A cold front crossing the region Sunday night has shifted winds to the northwest, advecting drier, cooler air behind it and setting up clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling under light winds, with dew points expected to fall into the single digits Celsius. The implied probability distribution aligns with ensemble guidance showing the overnight minimum most likely between 12–13 °C, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2 °C for the date. Resolution hinges on the official Environment Canada observation at Pearson International Airport; any deviation in cloud cover or wind speed during the 00–06 UTC window on September 14 could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. No significant model spread has emerged in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 12–13 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 49%
12°C 47%
16°C or higher 41%
11°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
49%
7°C
15%
8°C
15%
9°C
14%
10°C
26%
11°C
36%
12°C
47%
13°C
35%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C or higher
41%
6°C or below 49%
12°C 47%
16°C or higher 41%
11°C 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
49%
7°C
$0 Wol.
15%
8°C
$0 Wol.
15%
9°C
$0 Wol.
14%
10°C
$0 Wol.
26%
11°C
$0 Wol.
36%
12°C
$12 Wol.
47%
13°C
$0 Wol.
35%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C or higher
$34 Wol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting GFS model guidance indicate a Monday low of 12–13 °C for Toronto, driving the market’s concentration on those two outcomes (12 °C at 46.5 %, 13 °C at 34.5 %).** A cold front crossing the region Sunday night has shifted winds to the northwest, advecting drier, cooler air behind it and setting up clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling under light winds, with dew points expected to fall into the single digits Celsius.
The implied probability distribution aligns with ensemble guidance showing the overnight minimum most likely between 12–13 °C, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2 °C for the date. Resolution hinges on the official Environment Canada observation at Pearson International Airport; any deviation in cloud cover or wind speed during the 00–06 UTC window on September 14 could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. No significant model spread has emerged in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 12–13 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting GFS model guidance indicate a Monday low of 12–13 °C for Toronto, driving the market’s concentration on those two outcomes (12 °C at 46.5 %, 13 °C at 34.5 %).** A cold front crossing the region Sunday night has shifted winds to the northwest, advecting drier, cooler air behind it and setting up clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling under light winds, with dew points expected to fall into the single digits Celsius.
The implied probability distribution aligns with ensemble guidance showing the overnight minimum most likely between 12–13 °C, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2 °C for the date. Resolution hinges on the official Environment Canada observation at Pearson International Airport; any deviation in cloud cover or wind speed during the 00–06 UTC window on September 14 could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. No significant model spread has emerged in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 12–13 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting GFS model guidance indicate a Monday low of 12–13 °C for Toronto, driving the market’s concentration on those two outcomes (12 °C at 46.5 %, 13 °C at 34.5 %).** A cold front crossing the region Sunday night has shifted winds to the northwest, advecting drier, cooler air behind it and setting up clear to partly cloudy skies overnight. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling under light winds, with dew points expected to fall into the single digits Celsius. The implied probability distribution aligns with ensemble guidance showing the overnight minimum most likely between 12–13 °C, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 14.2 °C for the date. Resolution hinges on the official Environment Canada observation at Pearson International Airport; any deviation in cloud cover or wind speed during the 00–06 UTC window on September 14 could shift the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. No significant model spread has emerged in the latest runs, supporting the tight clustering around 12–13 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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