**Trader consensus on 33°C for Hong Kong’s September 12 maximum reflects late-day observations and model guidance aligning closely with that threshold.** Hong Kong Observatory station readings through the afternoon and early evening recorded peaks of 33–34°C at multiple sites, including 34.4°C at Chek Lap Kok and 33.9°C at Happy Valley, while official forecasts from HKO and international models consistently projected a daily high near 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and easterly flow. With the day nearing completion and no major convective development pushing temperatures higher, the market-implied probability exceeds 99% because the observed range sits squarely at the resolution boundary. Only a significant late-afternoon spike from localized heating or a revision in the final HKO daily extract could realistically shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$128,386 Wol.
$128,386 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$128,386 Wol.
$128,386 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$7,702 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$16,232 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$25,431 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$27,482 Wol.
100%
34°C
$7,190 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on 33°C for Hong Kong’s September 12 maximum reflects late-day observations and model guidance aligning closely with that threshold.** Hong Kong Observatory station readings through the afternoon and early evening recorded peaks of 33–34°C at multiple sites, including 34.4°C at Chek Lap Kok and 33.9°C at Happy Valley, while official forecasts from HKO and international models consistently projected a daily high near 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and easterly flow. With the day nearing completion and no major convective development pushing temperatures higher, the market-implied probability exceeds 99% because the observed range sits squarely at the resolution boundary. Only a significant late-afternoon spike from localized heating or a revision in the final HKO daily extract could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$128,386Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on 33°C for Hong Kong’s September 12 maximum reflects late-day observations and model guidance aligning closely with that threshold.** Hong Kong Observatory station readings through the afternoon and early evening recorded peaks of 33–34°C at multiple sites, including 34.4°C at Chek Lap Kok and 33.9°C at Happy Valley, while official forecasts from HKO and international models consistently projected a daily high near 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and easterly flow. With the day nearing completion and no major convective development pushing temperatures higher, the market-implied probability exceeds 99% because the observed range sits squarely at the resolution boundary. Only a significant late-afternoon spike from localized heating or a revision in the final HKO daily extract could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$128,386Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 33°C for Hong Kong’s September 12 maximum reflects late-day observations and model guidance aligning closely with that threshold.** Hong Kong Observatory station readings through the afternoon and early evening recorded peaks of 33–34°C at multiple sites, including 34.4°C at Chek Lap Kok and 33.9°C at Happy Valley, while official forecasts from HKO and international models consistently projected a daily high near 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and easterly flow. With the day nearing completion and no major convective development pushing temperatures higher, the market-implied probability exceeds 99% because the observed range sits squarely at the resolution boundary. Only a significant late-afternoon spike from localized heating or a revision in the final HKO daily extract could realistically shift the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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