Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 14?
71°F or below 83%
90°F or higher 83%
78-79°F 54%
72-73°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
71°F or below
83%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
83%
71°F or below 83%
90°F or higher 83%
78-79°F 54%
72-73°F 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
83%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
19%
78-79°F
$99 Wol.
54%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
39%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
39%
90°F or higher
$0 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$99Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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