Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Panama City on September 14, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation and higher peaks. Persistent trade winds and high humidity typical of the late wet season further moderate temperature rises, while model spread in precipitation timing creates the narrow probability gap between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. September climatology averages 30°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal variability without strong anomalies. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on September 14?
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
29°C 19%
30°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
29°C 19%
30°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Panama City on September 14, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that can suppress afternoon heating by several degrees, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger insolation and higher peaks. Persistent trade winds and high humidity typical of the late wet season further moderate temperature rises, while model spread in precipitation timing creates the narrow probability gap between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. September climatology averages 30°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal variability without strong anomalies. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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