Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum temperature near 14–16°C in Wellington on September 13, driven by a ridge of high pressure delivering mainly fine conditions, light to moderate northerly winds shifting southerly, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early spring climatology, where typical highs hover around 13–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong preference for 15°C as the implied mode while keeping 14°C and 16°C as viable alternatives depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 13?
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 11%
13°C 3%
NOWE
$18,378 Wol.
NOWE
$18,378 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
27%
15°C
63%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16°C 11%
13°C 3%
NOWE
$18,378 Wol.
NOWE
$18,378 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
10°C or below
$704 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$478 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$1,266 Wol.
3%
14°C
$3,944 Wol.
27%
15°C
$4,814 Wol.
63%
16°C
$5,184 Wol.
11%
17°C
$697 Wol.
1%
18°C
$48 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$746 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$213 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum temperature near 14–16°C in Wellington on September 13, driven by a ridge of high pressure delivering mainly fine conditions, light to moderate northerly winds shifting southerly, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early spring climatology, where typical highs hover around 13–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong preference for 15°C as the implied mode while keeping 14°C and 16°C as viable alternatives depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,378Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum temperature near 14–16°C in Wellington on September 13, driven by a ridge of high pressure delivering mainly fine conditions, light to moderate northerly winds shifting southerly, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early spring climatology, where typical highs hover around 13–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong preference for 15°C as the implied mode while keeping 14°C and 16°C as viable alternatives depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,378Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international guidance point to a maximum temperature near 14–16°C in Wellington on September 13, driven by a ridge of high pressure delivering mainly fine conditions, light to moderate northerly winds shifting southerly, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early spring climatology, where typical highs hover around 13–15°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s strong preference for 15°C as the implied mode while keeping 14°C and 16°C as viable alternatives depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments from official observations will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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