Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is delivering drier air and mostly fine conditions to Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating while limiting moisture and cloud cover. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast projects a maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers, consistent with several numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 30–32°C. Subtle differences in wind strength, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat effects create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C that dominates trader positioning. Historical September maxima under similar monsoon regimes often cluster in this range, and the absence of stronger cooling or tropical moisture keeps probabilities tightly balanced ahead of the day’s observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 8%
$10,252 Wol.
$10,252 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 8%
$10,252 Wol.
$10,252 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is delivering drier air and mostly fine conditions to Hong Kong on September 11, supporting daytime heating while limiting moisture and cloud cover. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast projects a maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers, consistent with several numerical models showing afternoon peaks near 30–32°C. Subtle differences in wind strength, timing of any residual cloud, and local urban heat effects create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C that dominates trader positioning. Historical September maxima under similar monsoon regimes often cluster in this range, and the absence of stronger cooling or tropical moisture keeps probabilities tightly balanced ahead of the day’s observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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