**Latest official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical weather models position a daytime maximum of 24–26°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon on September 10.** Northeasterly winds at 4–7 m/s under high pressure and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping conditions dry, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September daily highs average near 26°C. Current model consensus and KMA guidance show peaks around 24–25°C during afternoon hours, with minimal overnight recovery and no significant warm advection. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (22.5%), with traders weighting the official Incheon station observation and accounting for typical model spread in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
24°C 50%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
NOWE
$18,460 Wol.
NOWE
$18,460 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
50%
25°C
22%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
NOWE
$18,460 Wol.
NOWE
$18,460 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$1,815 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$428 Wol.
1%
21°C
$551 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$2,050 Wol.
3%
23°C
$3,274 Wol.
19%
24°C
$2,219 Wol.
50%
25°C
$1,426 Wol.
22%
26°C
$1,115 Wol.
8%
27°C
$1,077 Wol.
2%
28°C
$891 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,614 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical weather models position a daytime maximum of 24–26°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon on September 10.** Northeasterly winds at 4–7 m/s under high pressure and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping conditions dry, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September daily highs average near 26°C. Current model consensus and KMA guidance show peaks around 24–25°C during afternoon hours, with minimal overnight recovery and no significant warm advection. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (22.5%), with traders weighting the official Incheon station observation and accounting for typical model spread in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,460Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical weather models position a daytime maximum of 24–26°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon on September 10.** Northeasterly winds at 4–7 m/s under high pressure and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping conditions dry, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September daily highs average near 26°C. Current model consensus and KMA guidance show peaks around 24–25°C during afternoon hours, with minimal overnight recovery and no significant warm advection. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (22.5%), with traders weighting the official Incheon station observation and accounting for typical model spread in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,460Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and numerical weather models position a daytime maximum of 24–26°C as the most probable outcome for Incheon on September 10.** Northeasterly winds at 4–7 m/s under high pressure and partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping conditions dry, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region where September daily highs average near 26°C. Current model consensus and KMA guidance show peaks around 24–25°C during afternoon hours, with minimal overnight recovery and no significant warm advection. These conditions explain why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (22.5%), with traders weighting the official Incheon station observation and accounting for typical model spread in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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