**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and European models points to a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 9 near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** This places the highest probability on 36 °C (market-implied 35.5 %), followed closely by 37 °C and 35 °C, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, humidity (around 40–50 %), and any isolated showers can shift the exact maximum by 1 °C. Recent days have featured highs of 36–37 °C amid a transitional early-September pattern typical for the region, with steering patterns and subsidence supporting continued warmth before a stronger frontal influence and rain chance arrives on the 10th. Model consensus remains tight, but resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective development that could cap the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
36°C 36%
37°C 28%
35°C 21%
38°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
21%
36°C
36%
37°C
28%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
3%
36°C 36%
37°C 28%
35°C 21%
38°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
21%
36°C
36%
37°C
28%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the UK Met Office and European models points to a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 9 near 35–36 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds.** This places the highest probability on 36 °C (market-implied 35.5 %), followed closely by 37 °C and 35 °C, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, humidity (around 40–50 %), and any isolated showers can shift the exact maximum by 1 °C. Recent days have featured highs of 36–37 °C amid a transitional early-September pattern typical for the region, with steering patterns and subsidence supporting continued warmth before a stronger frontal influence and rain chance arrives on the 10th. Model consensus remains tight, but resolution hinges on the precise timing of any convective development that could cap the peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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