Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Chongqing's daily minimum temperature on September 9 will hold near 29°C, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under mostly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 20s Celsius amid light southerly winds and high humidity around 50-70%, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover near 22-24°C but current conditions have delayed seasonal cooling. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability for exactly 29°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger cold front or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could push readings to 27-28°C before midnight resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
29°C 99.5%
28°C 20%
26°C 10%
24°C or below 9%
$2,024 Wol.
$2,024 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 99.5%
28°C 20%
26°C 10%
24°C or below 9%
$2,024 Wol.
$2,024 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Chongqing's daily minimum temperature on September 9 will hold near 29°C, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under mostly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 20s Celsius amid light southerly winds and high humidity around 50-70%, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover near 22-24°C but current conditions have delayed seasonal cooling. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability for exactly 29°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger cold front or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could push readings to 27-28°C before midnight resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania